Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 March 15, 2026
UD San Fernando

UD San Fernando

11
FT
Atlético Paso

Atlético Paso

We predicted

1-0 41% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
UD San Fernando
Rank#2
Played25
Points50
PPG2.0
Goal Diff16
W W W D W
Atlético Paso
1#Rank
25Played
52Points
2.08PPG
25Goal Diff
W D W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.6%
6.39
1-1
13.0%
7.71
0-0
12.6%
7.97
0-1
10.4%
9.61
Both Teams To Score
YES 40% · 2.49
NO 60% · 1.67
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
UD San Fernando 32% · 3.16
Draw 36% · 2.81
Atlético Paso 33% · 3.05
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.91 Under 66% · 1.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.63 Under 39% · 2.59
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.39 Under 84% · 1.19

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

UD San Fernando UD San Fernando
W W W D W
Atlético Paso Atlético Paso
W D W W W

Key Stats Comparison

UD San Fernando
Stat
Atlético Paso
1.25
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.83
#2
League Pos.
#1
50 pts
Points
52 pts
2.0
Points / Game
2.08
+16
Goal Diff.
+25

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlético Paso Atlético Paso A
29 17 9 3 +31 60
2
UD San Fernando UD San Fernando H
28 17 6 5 +21 57
3
Tamaraceite Tamaraceite
28 16 4 9 +12 51
4
Tenerife C Tenerife C
29 14 7 8 +9 49
5
Mensajero Mensajero
28 13 9 6 +15 48
6
Panadería Pulido Panadería Pulido
28 14 6 8 +14 48
7
Las Palmas III Las Palmas III
28 12 8 8 +15 44
8
Real Unión de Tenerife Real Unión de Tenerife
28 12 8 8 +7 44
9
Lanzarote Lanzarote
29 12 7 10 +9 43
10
Villa Santa Brígida Villa Santa Brígida
29 13 4 12 +4 43
11
Marino Marino
28 8 12 8 +10 36
12
San Miguel San Miguel
28 7 9 13 -9 29
13
Arucas Arucas
28 6 9 13 -13 27
14
San Bartolomé San Bartolomé
29 6 10 14 -27 27
15
Unión Sur Yaiza Unión Sur Yaiza
28 7 5 16 -15 26
16
Herbania Herbania
28 6 8 14 -13 26
17
Tenisca Tenisca
29 5 6 18 -34 21
18
Telde Telde
28 4 8 16 -36 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record