1. Lig 1. Lig March 11, 2026
Ümraniyespor

Ümraniyespor

31
FT
Erzurumspor FK

Erzurumspor FK

We predicted

0-1 42% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 11 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 3–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 42%
Team Context
Ümraniyespor
Rank#15
Played29
Points35
PPG1.21
Goal Diff-4
W L L W D
Erzurumspor FK
1#Rank
29Played
63Points
2.17PPG
48Goal Diff
W W W W W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
13.9%
7.18
1-1
12.9%
7.73
0-0
10.5%
9.49
1-0
9.8%
10.21
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.25
NO 56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Ümraniyespor 16% · 6.34
Draw 37% · 2.72
Erzurumspor FK 47% · 2.11
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.56 Under 61% · 1.64
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52 Under 34% · 2.92
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.26 Under 81% · 1.23

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor
W L L W D
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK
W W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Ümraniyespor
Stat
Erzurumspor FK
0.93
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.32
#15
League Pos.
#1
35 pts
Points
63 pts
1.21
Points / Game
2.17
-4
Goal Diff.
+48

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Ümraniyespor
Draw
Erzurumspor FK
10 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK A
33 21 9 3 +52 72
2
Amed Amed
33 21 7 5 +41 70
3
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
33 19 9 5 +45 66
4
Çorum FK Çorum FK
34 19 6 9 +18 63
5
Bodrum FK Bodrum FK
34 18 7 9 +33 61
6
Pendikspor Pendikspor
34 15 12 7 +23 57
7
Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor
34 14 10 10 +10 52
8
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü
33 13 11 9 +26 50
9
Sivasspor Sivasspor
33 12 11 10 +7 47
10
Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K.
34 13 7 14 -5 46
11
Iğdır FK Iğdır FK
33 12 9 12 -5 45
12
Vanspor FK Vanspor FK
33 11 10 12 +4 43
13
Sarıyer Sarıyer
34 12 7 15 -4 43
14
Boluspor Boluspor
33 12 6 15 +1 42
15
İstanbulspor İstanbulspor
33 9 13 11 -10 40
16
Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor H
33 11 6 16 -4 39
17
Serik Spor Serik Spor
33 10 5 18 -25 35
18
Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor
33 8 9 16 -15 33
19
Hatayspor Hatayspor
34 1 7 26 -65 10
20
Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor
34 1 3 30 -127 -54

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record