Segunda Liga
April 5, 2026
União de Leiria
17:00
VS
Lusitânia Lourosa
Predicted score
1-0
41% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
União de Leiria
Rank#4
Played27
Points44
PPG1.63
Goal Diff9
W
W
L
W
W
Lusitânia Lourosa
9#Rank
27Played
37Points
1.37PPG
-7Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.8%
5.95
0-0
13.7%
7.29
1-1
12.8%
7.81
0-1
10.5%
9.57
Both Teams To Score
YES
38% · 2.66
NO
62% · 1.6
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
União de Leiria
46% · 2.16
Draw
36% · 2.79
Lusitânia Lourosa
18% · 5.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.13
Under 68% · 1.47
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.69
Under 41% · 2.44
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
86%
Over 14% · 7.13
Under 86% · 1.16
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
União de Leiria
W
W
L
W
W
Lusitânia Lourosa
L
L
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
União de Leiria
Stat
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.22
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.76
#4
League Pos.
#9
44 pts
Points
37 pts
1.63
Points / Game
1.37
+9
Goal Diff.
-7
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
0 W
União de Leiria
Draw
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Maritimo
|
28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | +22 | 57 |
| 2 |
Academico Viseu
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +21 | 50 |
| 3 |
Torreense
|
27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | +8 | 45 |
| 4 |
União de Leiria
H
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +9 | 44 |
| 5 |
Vizela
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +5 | 44 |
| 6 |
Sporting CP B
|
28 | 13 | 2 | 13 | +12 | 41 |
| 7 |
Feirense
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 |
FC Porto B
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 |
Benfica B
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lusitânia Lourosa
A
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 37 |
| 11 |
Chaves
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +3 | 36 |
| 12 |
Leixoes
|
27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 |
Felgueiras 1932
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 33 |
| 14 |
Penafiel
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 |
Portimonense
|
28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -10 | 30 |
| 17 |
Farense
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -11 | 29 |
| 18 |
Oliveirense
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 27 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.