Bundesliga Bundesliga February 21, 2026
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

10
FT
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

We predicted

1-1 26% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Team Context
Union Berlin
Rank#10
Played22
Points25
PPG1.14
Goal Diff-9
L D L L D
Bayer Leverkusen
6#Rank
21Played
39Points
1.86PPG
16Goal Diff
W D W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.6%
7.94
1-0
10.9%
9.18
0-1
9.0%
11.06
2-1
8.8%
11.4
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.94
NO 48% · 2.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Union Berlin 42% · 2.36
Draw 26% · 3.78
Bayer Leverkusen 31% · 3.21
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.14 Under 53% · 1.88
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.38 Under 28% · 3.6
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.96 Under 75% · 1.34

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Union Berlin Union Berlin
L D L L D
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
W D W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Union Berlin
Stat
Bayer Leverkusen
1.39
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.16
#10
League Pos.
#6
25 pts
Points
39 pts
1.14
Points / Game
1.86
-9
Goal Diff.
+16

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
28 23 4 1 +73 73
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
28 19 7 2 +32 64
3
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
28 16 5 7 +19 53
4
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
28 16 5 7 +18 53
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
28 15 5 8 +14 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen A
28 14 7 7 +19 49
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
27 10 8 9 -1 38
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
28 10 7 11 -6 37
9
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
28 8 9 11 -8 33
10
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
28 9 5 14 -17 32
11
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
28 7 10 11 -9 31
12
Union Berlin Union Berlin H
27 8 7 12 -15 31
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
28 7 9 12 -13 30
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
28 7 7 14 -18 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
27 6 8 13 -9 26
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
27 6 6 15 -20 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
28 5 6 17 -25 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
28 3 7 18 -34 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record