Bundesliga
April 5, 2026
Union Berlin
13:30
VS
FC St. Pauli
Predicted score
1-0
41% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
Union Berlin
Rank#11
Played25
Points28
PPG1.12
Goal Diff-12
L
L
W
L
D
FC St. Pauli
16#Rank
25Played
24Points
0.96PPG
-17Goal Diff
D
W
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.2%
5.83
2-0
12.3%
8.1
0-0
11.9%
8.4
1-1
11.8%
8.47
Both Teams To Score
YES
38% · 2.63
NO
62% · 1.61
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Union Berlin
47% · 2.12
Draw
30% · 3.31
FC St. Pauli
23% · 4.4
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.8
Under 64% · 1.56
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59
Under 37% · 2.68
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 6.02
Under 83% · 1.2
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Union Berlin
L
L
W
L
D
FC St. Pauli
D
W
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Union Berlin
Stat
FC St. Pauli
1.44
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.69
#11
League Pos.
#16
28 pts
Points
24 pts
1.12
Points / Game
0.96
-12
Goal Diff.
-17
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
0 D
1 W
Union Berlin
Draw
FC St. Pauli
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +73 | 73 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | +30 | 62 |
| 3 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | +20 | 54 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +19 | 53 |
| 5 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +14 | 50 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 49 |
| 7 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 |
SC Freiburg
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Hamburger SV
|
28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 31 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
H
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 30 |
| 14 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 |
FC St. Pauli
A
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -34 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.