Jupiler Pro League Jupiler Pro League March 14, 2026
Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise

20
FT
Dender

Dender

We predicted

1-0 44% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 44%
Team Context
Union St. Gilloise
Rank#1
Played28
Points60
PPG2.14
Goal Diff29
W D W D W
Dender
16#Rank
28Played
19Points
0.68PPG
-23Goal Diff
D D L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.3%
6.54
2-0
15.1%
6.63
Union St. Gilloise 4+
13.4%
3-0
9.9%
10.09
Both Teams To Score
YES 38% · 2.61
NO 62% · 1.62
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Union St. Gilloise 60% · 1.66
Draw 30% · 3.35
Dender 10% · 9.92
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.13 Under 53% · 1.89
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.38 Under 28% · 3.62
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.96 Under 75% · 1.34

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
W D W D W
Dender Dender
D D L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Union St. Gilloise
Stat
Dender
1.97
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.59
#1
League Pos.
#16
60 pts
Points
19 pts
2.14
Points / Game
0.68
+29
Goal Diff.
-23

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise H
30 19 9 2 +33 66
2
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
30 20 3 7 +23 63
3
St. Truiden St. Truiden
30 18 3 9 +12 57
4
Gent Gent
30 13 6 11 +6 45
5
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
30 12 9 9 +2 45
6
Anderlecht Anderlecht
30 12 8 10 +4 44
7
Genk Genk
30 11 9 10 -1 42
8
Standard Liege Standard Liege
30 11 7 12 -8 40
9
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
30 10 9 11 -4 39
10
Antwerp Antwerp
30 9 8 13 -1 35
11
Charleroi Charleroi
30 9 7 14 -4 34
12
OH Leuven OH Leuven
30 9 7 14 -11 34
13
Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem
30 8 8 14 -9 32
14
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge
30 7 10 13 -8 31
15
RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière
30 6 13 11 -7 31
16
Dender Dender A
30 3 10 17 -27 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record