Primera División Primera División April 5, 2026
Universitario

Universitario

10
FT
Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

We predicted

Universitario 4+ 42% confidence
View full match details Sunday, April 5 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Universitario 4+
|
Actual 1–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 42%
Team Context
Universitario
Rank#1
Played17
Points40
PPG2.35
Goal Diff16
L D W W W
Alianza Lima
4#Rank
17Played
31Points
1.82PPG
11Goal Diff
L D W W D
Most Likely Scores
Universitario 4+
18.7%
2-0
12.4%
8.08
1-0
10.9%
9.17
2-1
9.6%
10.43
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.07
NO 52% · 1.93
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Universitario 61% · 1.65
Draw 29% · 3.49
Alianza Lima 11% · 9.29
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.71 Under 42% · 2.4
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.24 Under 19% · 5.15
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.8 Under 64% · 1.56

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Universitario Universitario
L D W W W
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
L D W W D

Key Stats Comparison

Universitario
Stat
Alianza Lima
2.27
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.77
#1
League Pos.
#4
40 pts
Points
31 pts
2.35
Points / Game
1.82
+16
Goal Diff.
+11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record