Premier League Premier League March 11, 2026
URA

URA

10
FT
Lugazi

Lugazi

We predicted

1-0 41% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 11 2026

Correct prediction!

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–0

Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
URA
Rank#11
Played19
Points19
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-3
D W D D D
Lugazi
12#Rank
19Played
18Points
0.95PPG
-11Goal Diff
L L W L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
19.3%
5.18
0-0
14.2%
7.04
2-0
13.1%
7.62
1-1
11.4%
8.74
Both Teams To Score
YES 33% · 3.01
NO 67% · 1.5
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
URA 53% · 1.87
Draw 37% · 2.71
Lugazi 10% · 10.28
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.23 Under 69% · 1.45
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72 Under 42% · 2.38
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
87%
Over 13% · 7.47 Under 87% · 1.15

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

URA URA
D W D D D
Lugazi Lugazi
L L W L D

Key Stats Comparison

URA
Stat
Lugazi
1.36
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.59
#11
League Pos.
#12
19 pts
Points
18 pts
1.0
Points / Game
0.95
-3
Goal Diff.
-11

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
0 W
URA
Draw
Lugazi
3 total goals
4 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vipers Vipers
21 15 5 1 +28 50
2
Kitara Kitara
21 14 4 3 +21 46
3
KCCA KCCA
21 14 3 4 +17 45
4
SC Villa SC Villa
21 12 5 4 +20 41
5
Entebbe UPPC Entebbe UPPC
21 10 6 5 +5 36
6
Police Police
21 10 5 6 +8 35
7
NEC NEC
21 8 10 3 +7 34
8
BUL BUL
21 8 6 7 +4 30
9
Maroons Maroons
21 6 8 7 +2 26
10
Express Express
21 5 8 8 -4 23
11
URA URA H
21 4 10 7 -4 22
12
Lugazi Lugazi A
21 4 6 11 -15 18
13
Mbarara City Mbarara City
21 3 7 11 -16 16
14
Buhimba Saints Buhimba Saints
21 4 3 14 -29 15
15
UPDF UPDF
21 3 5 13 -15 14
16
Calvary Calvary
21 0 5 16 -29 5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record