First League First League March 15, 2026
Ural

Ural

20
FT
Arsenal Tula

Arsenal Tula

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Ural
Rank#2
Played23
Points42
PPG1.83
Goal Diff11
D L D D L
Arsenal Tula
11#Rank
23Played
29Points
1.26PPG
3Goal Diff
L D D D W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.2%
8.22
1-0
10.7%
9.32
2-1
9.2%
10.86
2-0
8.1%
12.32
Both Teams To Score
YES 53% · 1.89
NO 47% · 2.12
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Ural 46% · 2.2
Draw 33% · 3.0
Arsenal Tula 21% · 4.74
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.03 Under 51% · 1.97
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35 Under 26% · 3.87
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.66 Under 73% · 1.38

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Ural Ural
D L D D L
Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula
L D D D W

Key Stats Comparison

Ural
Stat
Arsenal Tula
1.51
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.13
#2
League Pos.
#11
42 pts
Points
29 pts
1.83
Points / Game
1.26
+11
Goal Diff.
+3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
1 W
Ural
Draw
Arsenal Tula
9 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Fakel Fakel
27 18 5 4 +21 59
2
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
27 14 10 3 +22 52
3
Ural Ural H
27 14 6 7 +14 48
4
Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd
27 11 9 7 +13 42
5
Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma
27 10 11 6 +6 41
6
KAMAZ KAMAZ
27 9 12 6 +13 39
7
Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk
27 9 11 7 +6 38
8
FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik
27 8 11 8 -1 35
9
Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula A
27 8 11 8 +4 35
10
Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk
27 8 10 9 -6 34
11
Enisey Enisey
27 8 10 9 -8 34
12
Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva
26 9 6 11 -5 33
13
Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl
27 7 12 8 -1 33
14
Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk
27 8 7 12 -9 31
15
Chernomorets Chernomorets
27 7 8 12 -6 29
16
FC UFA FC UFA
26 6 8 12 -6 26
17
Chayka Chayka
27 4 7 16 -34 19
18
FK Sokol Saratov FK Sokol Saratov
27 2 10 15 -23 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record