Derde Divisie - Saturday
March 28, 2026
URK
4–5
FT
Sparta Nijkerk
We predicted
Sparta Nijkerk 4+
44% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 28 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Sparta Nijkerk 4+
|
Actual
4–5
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Sparta Nijkerk 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
44%
Team Context
URK
Rank#17
Played26
Points23
PPG0.88
Goal Diff-31
D
W
L
L
D
Sparta Nijkerk
5#Rank
27Played
45Points
1.67PPG
30Goal Diff
L
L
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Sparta Nijkerk 4+
18.0%
URK 4+
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
12.25
2-2
7.1%
14.03
Both Teams To Score
YES
74% · 1.35
NO
26% · 3.88
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
URK
22% · 4.59
Draw
30% · 3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
48% · 2.08
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.28
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
91%
Over 91% · 1.1
Under 9% · 11.24
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.75
Under 43% · 2.33
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
URK
D
W
L
L
D
Sparta Nijkerk
L
L
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
URK
Stat
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.3
#17
League Pos.
#5
23 pts
Points
45 pts
0.88
Points / Game
1.67
-31
Goal Diff.
+30
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
4 W
URK
Draw
Sparta Nijkerk
26
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.