Ligue 1 Ligue 1 March 18, 2026
USM Alger

USM Alger

20
FT
ES Setif

ES Setif

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 18 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
USM Alger
Rank#12
Played18
Points26
PPG1.44
Goal Diff5
D D L D D
ES Setif
13#Rank
22Played
26Points
1.18PPG
-4Goal Diff
L W W L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.9%
6.29
1-1
12.4%
8.1
0-0
11.4%
8.79
2-0
11.1%
9.0
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.46
NO 59% · 1.69
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
USM Alger 49% · 2.04
Draw 35% · 2.9
ES Setif 17% · 6.06
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.7 Under 63% · 1.59
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.57 Under 36% · 2.77
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.71 Under 82% · 1.21

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

USM Alger USM Alger
D D L D D
ES Setif ES Setif
L W W L D

Key Stats Comparison

USM Alger
Stat
ES Setif
1.4
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#12
League Pos.
#13
26 pts
Points
26 pts
1.44
Points / Game
1.18
+5
Goal Diff.
-4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
1 D
0 W
USM Alger
Draw
ES Setif
11 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
MC Alger MC Alger
22 16 4 2 +20 52
2
Olympique Akbou Olympique Akbou
23 11 7 5 +6 40
3
JS Saoura JS Saoura
23 12 4 7 +4 40
4
MC Oran MC Oran
24 11 6 7 +7 39
5
CS Constantine CS Constantine
25 10 8 7 +7 38
6
CR Belouizdad CR Belouizdad
21 9 8 4 +11 35
7
JS Kabylie JS Kabylie
22 9 7 6 +5 34
8
Ben Aknoun Ben Aknoun
23 9 7 7 +1 34
9
USM Alger USM Alger H
21 6 11 4 +5 29
10
MB Rouisset MB Rouisset
24 7 7 10 -5 28
11
Khenchela Khenchela
22 7 7 8 -2 28
12
ASO Chlef ASO Chlef
24 7 7 10 -2 28
13
ES Setif ES Setif A
23 6 8 9 -6 26
14
Paradou AC Paradou AC
23 5 2 16 -16 17
15
Mostaganem Mostaganem
24 4 5 15 -17 17
16
El Bayadh El Bayadh
24 2 8 14 -18 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record