Botola 2
April 5, 2026
USM Oujda
14:00
VS
Chabab Ben Guerir
Predicted score
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
USM Oujda
Rank#11
Played20
Points23
PPG1.15
Goal Diff0
D
D
W
L
D
Chabab Ben Guerir
14#Rank
20Played
21Points
1.05PPG
-6Goal Diff
W
D
D
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.7%
6.82
1-1
12.5%
7.97
0-0
10.4%
9.59
2-0
10.3%
9.7
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.31
NO
57% · 1.77
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
USM Oujda
48% · 2.09
Draw
34% · 2.91
Chabab Ben Guerir
18% · 5.64
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.54
Under 61% · 1.65
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52
Under 34% · 2.94
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.2
Under 81% · 1.24
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
USM Oujda
D
D
W
L
D
Chabab Ben Guerir
W
D
D
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
USM Oujda
Stat
Chabab Ben Guerir
1.41
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#11
League Pos.
#14
23 pts
Points
21 pts
1.15
Points / Game
1.05
+0
Goal Diff.
-6
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
USM Oujda
Draw
Chabab Ben Guerir
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Moghreb Tetouan
|
21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | +5 | 35 |
| 2 |
Widad Témara
|
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | +5 | 34 |
| 3 |
Riadi Salmi
|
21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 33 |
| 4 |
Amal Tiznit
|
20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | +8 | 32 |
| 5 |
Mouloudia Oujda
|
21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | +3 | 30 |
| 6 |
Wydad Fès
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +6 | 29 |
| 7 |
El Massira
|
20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 |
Chabab Atl. Khenifra
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | +0 | 29 |
| 9 |
Chabab Mohammédia
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -7 | 29 |
| 10 |
Union Sportive Boujaad
|
21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | +2 | 25 |
| 11 |
KAC Kenitra
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 |
USM Oujda
H
|
20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | +0 | 23 |
| 13 |
Stade Marocain
|
21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | -4 | 23 |
| 14 |
Chabab Ben Guerir
A
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -6 | 21 |
| 15 |
Racing de Casablanca
|
20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -8 | 16 |
| 16 |
Raja Beni Mellal
|
20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | -12 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.