Liga III - Serie 1 Liga III - Serie 1 April 3, 2026
USV Iaşi

USV Iaşi

31
FT
Aerostar Bacau

Aerostar Bacau

We predicted

USV Iaşi 4+ 34% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted USV Iaşi 4+
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
USV Iaşi
Rank#6
Played21
Points28
PPG1.33
Goal Diff-16
W W D L W
Aerostar Bacau
7#Rank
21Played
28Points
1.33PPG
-8Goal Diff
L W L W L
Most Likely Scores
USV Iaşi 4+
10.6%
1-1
10.2%
9.79
2-1
9.3%
10.73
1-0
7.3%
13.64
Both Teams To Score
YES 63% · 1.59
NO 37% · 2.7
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
USV Iaşi 33% · 3.07
Draw 32% · 3.15
Aerostar Bacau 36% · 2.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61 Under 38% · 2.65
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2 Under 17% · 5.9
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.5 Under 60% · 1.67

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

USV Iaşi USV Iaşi
W W D L W
Aerostar Bacau Aerostar Bacau
L W L W L

Key Stats Comparison

USV Iaşi
Stat
Aerostar Bacau
1.83
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.39
#6
League Pos.
#7
28 pts
Points
28 pts
1.33
Points / Game
1.33
-16
Goal Diff.
-8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record