Third NL - Jug Third NL - Jug April 4, 2026
Val Kaštel Stari

Val Kaštel Stari

12
FT
Sloga Mravince

Sloga Mravince

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Val Kaštel Stari
Rank#8
Played20
Points27
PPG1.35
Goal Diff-5
L W D D D
Sloga Mravince
6#Rank
20Played
30Points
1.5PPG
5Goal Diff
W L W D D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.1%
8.98
2-1
9.6%
10.4
1-0
9.3%
10.72
Val Kaštel Stari 4+
9.3%
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.75
NO 43% · 2.34
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Val Kaštel Stari 34% · 2.95
Draw 32% · 3.1
Sloga Mravince 34% · 2.96
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.79 Under 44% · 2.26
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27 Under 21% · 4.72
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.0 Under 67% · 1.5

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Val Kaštel Stari Val Kaštel Stari
L W D D D
Sloga Mravince Sloga Mravince
W L W D D

Key Stats Comparison

Val Kaštel Stari
Stat
Sloga Mravince
1.73
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.19
#8
League Pos.
#6
27 pts
Points
30 pts
1.35
Points / Game
1.5
-5
Goal Diff.
+5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record