Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 March 15, 2026
Varea

Varea

21
FT
Vianés

Vianés

We predicted

Varea 4+ 38% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Varea 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Varea
Rank#2
Played25
Points58
PPG2.32
Goal Diff23
L W W D W
Vianés
10#Rank
25Played
31Points
1.24PPG
-6Goal Diff
D W D L W
Most Likely Scores
Varea 4+
11.4%
1-0
11.4%
8.78
1-1
10.7%
9.37
2-0
10.6%
9.44
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.95
NO 49% · 2.05
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Varea 53% · 1.87
Draw 31% · 3.18
Vianés 15% · 6.59
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.89 Under 47% · 2.12
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3 Under 23% · 4.3
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.28 Under 70% · 1.44

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Varea Varea
L W W D W
Vianés Vianés
D W D L W

Key Stats Comparison

Varea
Stat
Vianés
1.86
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.94
#2
League Pos.
#10
58 pts
Points
31 pts
2.32
Points / Game
1.24
+23
Goal Diff.
-6

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
UD Logroñés II UD Logroñés II
29 21 8 0 +58 71
2
Varea Varea H
29 20 5 4 +24 65
3
Arnedo Arnedo
29 17 8 4 +40 59
4
Oyonesa Oyonesa
29 15 6 8 +10 51
5
Calahorra Calahorra
28 13 10 5 +44 49
6
Anguiano Anguiano
29 14 7 8 +8 49
7
Agoncillo Agoncillo
29 13 7 9 +15 46
8
Haro Deportivo Haro Deportivo
29 13 6 10 +6 45
9
Yagüe Yagüe
29 9 11 9 +2 38
10
Vianés Vianés A
29 9 8 12 -6 35
11
San Marcial San Marcial
29 9 7 13 -15 34
12
Berceo Berceo
29 8 9 12 -8 33
13
Comillas Comillas
29 9 4 16 -23 31
14
La Calzada La Calzada
28 8 6 14 -15 30
15
Pradejón Pradejón
29 7 8 14 -16 29
16
Villegas Villegas
29 7 5 17 -27 26
17
Autol Autol
29 3 4 22 -52 13
18
Peña Balsamaiso Peña Balsamaiso
29 0 11 18 -45 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record