Serie A Serie A April 5, 2026
Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama

12
FT
Botafogo

Botafogo

We predicted

Vasco DA Gama 4+ 40% confidence
View full match details Sunday, April 5 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Vasco DA Gama 4+
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Vasco DA Gama
Rank#14
Played38
Points45
PPG1.18
Goal Diff-5
L L W L L
Botafogo
6#Rank
38Played
63Points
1.66PPG
20Goal Diff
W D D W W
Most Likely Scores
Vasco DA Gama 4+
15.5%
2-0
11.4%
8.74
1-0
10.9%
9.18
2-1
9.9%
10.11
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.97
NO 49% · 2.03
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Vasco DA Gama 43% · 2.3
Draw 30% · 3.34
Botafogo 27% · 3.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76 Under 43% · 2.31
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26 Under 21% · 4.87
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.93 Under 66% · 1.52

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
L L W L L
Botafogo Botafogo
W D D W W

Key Stats Comparison

Vasco DA Gama
Stat
Botafogo
2.1
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#14
League Pos.
#6
45 pts
Points
63 pts
1.18
Points / Game
1.66
-5
Goal Diff.
+20

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
2 D
2 W
Vasco DA Gama
Draw
Botafogo
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
9 7 1 1 +10 22
2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
10 6 2 2 +8 20
3
Fluminense Fluminense
10 6 2 2 +6 20
4
Bahia Bahia
8 5 2 1 +5 17
5
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
9 5 1 3 +3 16
6
Coritiba Coritiba
10 4 3 3 +1 15
7
Flamengo Flamengo
8 4 2 2 +5 14
8
Botafogo Botafogo A
9 4 0 5 -3 12
9
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama H
10 3 3 4 -1 12
10
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
9 3 2 4 +1 11
11
Gremio Gremio
9 3 2 4 +0 11
12
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
9 3 2 4 -1 11
13
Vitoria Vitoria
8 3 1 4 -5 10
14
Santos Santos
9 2 4 3 -1 10
15
Corinthians Corinthians
9 2 4 3 -2 10
16
Internacional Internacional
9 2 3 4 -2 9
17
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
8 1 4 3 -6 7
18
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
10 1 4 5 -8 7
19
Mirassol Mirassol
8 1 3 4 -3 6
20
Remo Remo
9 1 3 5 -7 6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record