La Liga La Liga March 20, 2026
Villarreal

Villarreal

31
FT
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

We predicted

Villarreal 4+ 40% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 20 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Villarreal 4+
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Villarreal
Rank#4
Played27
Points54
PPG2.0
Goal Diff18
W L W W L
Real Sociedad
8#Rank
27Played
35Points
1.3PPG
-1Goal Diff
L W D L W
Most Likely Scores
Villarreal 4+
16.1%
2-0
10.0%
9.96
2-1
10.0%
10.02
1-0
9.4%
10.66
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.8
NO 44% · 2.25
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Villarreal 52% · 1.92
Draw 26% · 3.84
Real Sociedad 22% · 4.55
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66 Under 40% · 2.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.52
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.64 Under 62% · 1.61

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Villarreal Villarreal
W L W W L
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
L W D L W

Key Stats Comparison

Villarreal
Stat
Real Sociedad
2.14
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.99
#4
League Pos.
#8
54 pts
Points
35 pts
2.0
Points / Game
1.3
+18
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
1 W
Villarreal
Draw
Real Sociedad
18 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona Barcelona
30 25 1 4 +51 76
2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
30 22 3 5 +36 69
3
Villarreal Villarreal H
29 18 4 7 +20 58
4
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
30 17 6 7 +20 57
5
Real Betis Real Betis
30 11 12 7 +7 45
6
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad A
30 11 8 11 +1 41
7
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
29 10 11 8 +6 41
8
Getafe Getafe
29 11 5 13 -6 38
9
Espanyol Espanyol
30 10 8 12 -8 38
10
Athletic Club Athletic Club
29 11 5 13 -9 38
11
Osasuna Osasuna
29 10 7 12 -1 37
12
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
30 8 11 11 -6 35
13
Valencia Valencia
29 9 8 12 -10 35
14
Girona Girona
29 8 10 11 -13 34
15
Alaves Alaves
29 8 7 14 -11 31
16
Sevilla Sevilla
29 8 7 14 -12 31
17
Mallorca Mallorca
30 8 7 15 -12 31
18
Elche Elche
30 6 11 13 -9 29
19
Levante Levante
30 6 8 16 -16 26
20
Oviedo Oviedo
29 4 9 16 -28 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record