Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 April 2, 2026
Villarrubia

Villarrubia

21
FT
Tarancón

Tarancón

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Thursday, April 2 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Villarrubia
Rank#8
Played28
Points43
PPG1.54
Goal Diff6
L L L W D
Tarancón
3#Rank
28Played
58Points
2.07PPG
27Goal Diff
W W L D D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.3%
7.51
1-0
12.8%
7.8
0-1
11.2%
8.97
0-0
10.8%
9.3
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.22
NO 55% · 1.82
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Villarrubia 28% · 3.61
Draw 35% · 2.84
Tarancón 37% · 2.7
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.59 Under 61% · 1.63
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.53 Under 35% · 2.88
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.36 Under 81% · 1.23

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Villarrubia Villarrubia
L L L W D
Tarancón Tarancón
W W L D D

Key Stats Comparison

Villarrubia
Stat
Tarancón
1.19
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.04
#8
League Pos.
#3
43 pts
Points
58 pts
1.54
Points / Game
2.07
+6
Goal Diff.
+27

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Calvo Sotelo Calvo Sotelo
29 18 8 3 +26 62
2
Toledo Toledo
29 17 10 2 +33 61
3
Albacete II Albacete II
29 16 10 3 +31 58
4
Tarancón Tarancón A
29 17 7 5 +26 58
5
Manchego Manchego
29 16 5 8 +22 53
6
Villarrubia Villarrubia H
29 13 7 10 +7 45
7
San Clemente San Clemente
29 11 10 8 -1 43
8
Villacañas Villacañas
29 11 9 9 +7 42
9
Guadalajara II Guadalajara II
29 10 9 10 +0 39
10
Huracán Balazote Huracán Balazote
29 11 4 14 -8 37
11
Villarrobledo Villarrobledo
29 9 10 10 -6 37
12
Marchamalo Marchamalo
29 9 6 14 -3 33
13
Illescas Illescas
28 6 10 12 -12 28
14
La Solana La Solana
29 6 10 13 -13 28
15
Pedroñeras Pedroñeras
29 5 12 13 -17 26
16
Azuqueca Azuqueca
29 4 12 13 -13 24
17
Sonseca Sonseca
29 3 7 19 -39 16
18
Cazalegas Cazalegas
28 3 6 19 -40 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record