First League
March 15, 2026
Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
FT
Chelyabinsk
We predicted
1-1
38% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
2–2
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Volga Ulyanovsk
Rank#14
Played23
Points26
PPG1.13
Goal Diff-9
W
D
D
W
L
Chelyabinsk
5#Rank
23Played
36Points
1.57PPG
8Goal Diff
D
W
L
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.8%
8.47
0-1
9.1%
10.98
1-2
9.0%
11.14
1-0
7.8%
12.89
Both Teams To Score
YES
57% · 1.76
NO
43% · 2.31
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Volga Ulyanovsk
33% · 2.99
Draw
29% · 3.44
Chelyabinsk
38% · 2.67
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.87
Under 47% · 2.14
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.37
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.22
Under 69% · 1.45
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Volga Ulyanovsk
W
D
D
W
L
Chelyabinsk
D
W
L
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Volga Ulyanovsk
Stat
Chelyabinsk
1.3
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.52
#14
League Pos.
#5
26 pts
Points
36 pts
1.13
Points / Game
1.57
-9
Goal Diff.
+8
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Volga Ulyanovsk
Draw
Chelyabinsk
7
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Fakel
|
27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | +21 | 59 |
| 2 |
Rodina Moskva
|
27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | +22 | 52 |
| 3 |
Ural
|
27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | +14 | 48 |
| 4 |
Rotor Volgograd
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +13 | 42 |
| 5 |
Spartak Kostroma
|
27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | +6 | 41 |
| 6 |
KAMAZ
|
27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +13 | 39 |
| 7 |
Chelyabinsk
A
|
27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | +6 | 38 |
| 8 |
FK Neftekhimik
|
27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | -1 | 35 |
| 9 |
Arsenal Tula
|
27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 |
Ska-khabarovsk
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -6 | 34 |
| 11 |
Enisey
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -8 | 34 |
| 12 |
Torpedo Moskva
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 |
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | -1 | 33 |
| 14 |
Volga Ulyanovsk
H
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -9 | 31 |
| 15 |
Chernomorets
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 29 |
| 16 |
FC UFA
|
26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 26 |
| 17 |
Chayka
|
27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | -34 | 19 |
| 18 |
FK Sokol Saratov
|
27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | -23 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.