First League First League March 28, 2026
Volga Ulyanovsk

Volga Ulyanovsk

10
FT
Spartak Kostroma

Spartak Kostroma

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Volga Ulyanovsk
Rank#15
Played25
Points27
PPG1.08
Goal Diff-10
L D W D D
Spartak Kostroma
4#Rank
25Played
38Points
1.52PPG
6Goal Diff
D D D D L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.1%
9.0
1-2
8.4%
11.86
2-1
8.4%
11.9
0-1
7.4%
13.61
Both Teams To Score
YES 61% · 1.64
NO 39% · 2.55
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Volga Ulyanovsk 27% · 3.75
Draw 33% · 3.07
Spartak Kostroma 41% · 2.45
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72 Under 42% · 2.4
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.24 Under 20% · 5.13
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.79 Under 64% · 1.56

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk
L D W D D
Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma
D D D D L

Key Stats Comparison

Volga Ulyanovsk
Stat
Spartak Kostroma
1.51
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.52
#15
League Pos.
#4
27 pts
Points
38 pts
1.08
Points / Game
1.52
-10
Goal Diff.
+6

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Fakel Fakel
27 18 5 4 +21 59
2
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
27 14 10 3 +22 52
3
Ural Ural
27 14 6 7 +14 48
4
Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd
27 11 9 7 +13 42
5
Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma A
27 10 11 6 +6 41
6
KAMAZ KAMAZ
27 9 12 6 +13 39
7
Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk
27 9 11 7 +6 38
8
FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik
27 8 11 8 -1 35
9
Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula
27 8 11 8 +4 35
10
Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk
27 8 10 9 -6 34
11
Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva
27 9 7 11 -5 34
12
Enisey Enisey
27 8 10 9 -8 34
13
Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl
27 7 12 8 -1 33
14
Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk H
27 8 7 12 -9 31
15
Chernomorets Chernomorets
27 7 8 12 -6 29
16
FC UFA FC UFA
27 6 9 12 -6 27
17
Chayka Chayka
27 4 7 16 -34 19
18
FK Sokol Saratov FK Sokol Saratov
27 2 10 15 -23 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record