Eerste Divisie Eerste Divisie March 17, 2026
VVV Venlo

VVV Venlo

01
FT
Jong Ajax

Jong Ajax

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, March 17 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
VVV Venlo
Rank#12
Played31
Points37
PPG1.19
Goal Diff-9
L L L D D
Jong Ajax
19#Rank
31Played
29Points
0.94PPG
-13Goal Diff
W L W D W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.1%
8.27
1-0
11.2%
8.94
2-1
9.4%
10.68
2-0
8.7%
11.53
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.92
NO 48% · 2.08
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
VVV Venlo 33% · 3.04
Draw 33% · 3.01
Jong Ajax 34% · 2.95
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.05 Under 51% · 1.95
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.36 Under 26% · 3.81
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.71 Under 73% · 1.37

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

VVV Venlo VVV Venlo
L L L D D
Jong Ajax Jong Ajax
W L W D W

Key Stats Comparison

VVV Venlo
Stat
Jong Ajax
1.55
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.08
#12
League Pos.
#19
37 pts
Points
29 pts
1.19
Points / Game
0.94
-9
Goal Diff.
-13

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
34 26 2 6 +44 80
2
Cambuur Cambuur
34 22 7 5 +28 73
3
Willem II Willem II
34 16 8 10 +11 56
4
De Graafschap De Graafschap
34 16 8 10 +10 56
5
Almere City FC Almere City FC
34 17 4 13 +16 55
6
Waalwijk Waalwijk
34 14 9 11 +8 51
7
Roda Roda
34 13 12 9 +6 51
8
Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21
34 15 5 14 +3 50
9
Den Bosch Den Bosch
33 13 7 13 -1 46
10
FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven
34 13 5 16 -10 44
11
Dordrecht Dordrecht
34 11 10 13 -5 43
12
VVV Venlo VVV Venlo H
34 12 5 17 -7 41
13
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht
33 10 9 14 -4 39
14
Emmen Emmen
34 10 8 16 -11 38
15
Vitesse Vitesse
34 13 10 11 +2 37
16
Jong AZ Jong AZ
34 11 4 19 -7 37
17
MVV MVV
34 9 9 16 -29 36
18
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport
34 9 7 18 -21 34
19
Jong Ajax Jong Ajax A
34 8 8 18 -16 32
20
FC OSS FC OSS
34 7 11 16 -17 32

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record