ScoresFooty
Championship Championship February 21, 2026
Watford

Watford

2–0
FT
Derby

Derby

We predicted

0-1 28% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 2–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Watford
Rank#12
Played32
Points45
PPG1.41
Goal Diff3
D L D L D
Derby
6#Rank
32Played
48Points
1.5PPG
8Goal Diff
W L W D W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
14.7%
6.79
1-1
13.2%
7.57
0-0
12.2%
8.18
1-0
11.0%
9.12
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.41
NO 59% · 1.71
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Watford 27% · 3.65
Draw 29% · 3.39
Derby 43% · 2.32
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.85 Under 65% · 1.54
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61 Under 38% · 2.64
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.19 Under 84% · 1.19
View Full Predictions

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Watford Watford
D L D L D
Derby Derby
W L W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Watford
Stat
Derby
0.9
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.2
#12
League Pos.
#6
45 pts
Points
48 pts
1.41
Points / Game
1.5
+3
Goal Diff.
+8

Head to Head

Full H2H record
5 W
0 D
0 W
Watford
Draw
Derby
15 total goals
5 meetings

Last 3 Meetings

Championship 21 Feb
Championship 22 Nov 2025
Championship 18 Jan 2025

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
42 25 10 7 +42 85
2
Ipswich Ipswich
40 21 12 7 +31 75
3
Millwall Millwall
42 21 10 11 +9 73
4
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
42 20 12 10 +20 72
5
Southampton Southampton
41 19 12 10 +20 69
6
Hull City Hull City
42 20 8 14 +4 68
7
Wrexham Wrexham
41 17 13 11 +5 64
8
Derby Derby A
42 18 9 15 +8 63
9
Norwich Norwich
42 17 7 18 +5 58
10
Bristol City Bristol City
42 16 10 16 +1 58
11
QPR QPR
42 16 10 16 -5 58
12
Watford Watford H
42 14 15 13 +1 57
13
Preston Preston
42 14 15 13 -3 57
14
Swansea Swansea
42 16 9 17 -4 57
15
Stoke City Stoke City
42 15 10 17 +3 55
16
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
42 16 6 20 +0 54
17
Birmingham Birmingham
41 14 11 16 -3 53
18
Charlton Charlton
42 12 13 17 -12 49
19
Blackburn Blackburn
42 12 12 18 -12 48
20
West Brom West Brom
42 11 13 18 -14 46
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
41 11 12 18 -16 45
22
Oxford United Oxford United
42 10 14 18 -13 44
23
Leicester Leicester
42 11 14 17 -10 41
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
42 1 11 30 -57 -4

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record