Eerste Divisie Eerste Divisie January 23, 2026
Willem II

Willem II

21
FT
VVV Venlo

VVV Venlo

We predicted

Willem II 4+ 27% confidence
View full match details Friday, January 23 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Willem II 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Most Likely Scores
Willem II 4+
14.7%
2-1
8.6%
11.6
1-1
8.2%
12.18
VVV Venlo 4+
7.4%
Both Teams To Score
YES 71% · 1.41
NO 29% · 3.43
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Willem II 48% · 2.08
Draw 21% · 4.74
VVV Venlo 31% · 3.26
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.58
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
89%
Over 89% · 1.13 Under 11% · 8.89
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.95 Under 49% · 2.05

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Willem II
Stat
VVV Venlo
2.1
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.65

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
34 26 2 6 +44 80
2
Cambuur Cambuur
34 22 7 5 +28 73
3
Willem II Willem II H
34 16 8 10 +11 56
4
De Graafschap De Graafschap
34 16 8 10 +10 56
5
Almere City FC Almere City FC
34 17 4 13 +16 55
6
Waalwijk Waalwijk
34 14 9 11 +8 51
7
Roda Roda
34 13 12 9 +6 51
8
Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21
34 15 5 14 +3 50
9
Den Bosch Den Bosch
33 13 7 13 -1 46
10
FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven
34 13 5 16 -10 44
11
Dordrecht Dordrecht
34 11 10 13 -5 43
12
VVV Venlo VVV Venlo A
34 12 5 17 -7 41
13
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht
33 10 9 14 -4 39
14
Emmen Emmen
34 10 8 16 -11 38
15
Vitesse Vitesse
34 13 10 11 +2 37
16
Jong AZ Jong AZ
34 11 4 19 -7 37
17
MVV MVV
34 9 9 16 -29 36
18
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport
34 9 7 18 -21 34
19
Jong Ajax Jong Ajax
34 8 8 18 -16 32
20
FC OSS FC OSS
34 7 11 16 -17 32

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record