Non League Premier - Southern Central Non League Premier - Southern Central March 14, 2026
Worcester City

Worcester City

21
FT
Barwell

Barwell

We predicted

Worcester City 4+ 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Worcester City 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Worcester City
Rank#9
Played33
Points50
PPG1.52
Goal Diff18
L W W W D
Barwell
19#Rank
34Played
32Points
0.94PPG
-22Goal Diff
L L L W L
Most Likely Scores
Worcester City 4+
11.9%
1-1
10.5%
9.52
2-1
9.9%
10.06
1-0
9.8%
10.17
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.79
NO 44% · 2.26
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Worcester City 52% · 1.93
Draw 31% · 3.18
Barwell 17% · 5.99
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76 Under 43% · 2.31
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26 Under 21% · 4.86
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.92 Under 66% · 1.52

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Worcester City Worcester City
L W W W D
Barwell Barwell
L L L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Worcester City
Stat
Barwell
1.89
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.07
#9
League Pos.
#19
50 pts
Points
32 pts
1.52
Points / Game
0.94
+18
Goal Diff.
-22

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Harborough Town Harborough Town
38 26 9 3 +42 87
2
Spalding United Spalding United
38 24 8 6 +49 80
3
Real Bedford Real Bedford
37 20 9 8 +28 69
4
Redditch United Redditch United
37 20 5 12 +9 65
5
Kettering Town Kettering Town
37 19 7 11 +22 64
6
Quorn Quorn
38 19 7 12 +14 64
7
Halesowen Town Halesowen Town
38 18 9 11 +20 63
8
Needham Market Needham Market
37 17 9 11 +9 60
9
Worcester City Worcester City H
38 16 10 12 +19 58
10
Leiston Leiston
37 14 13 10 +7 55
11
Stratford Town Stratford Town
38 15 9 14 +4 54
12
Banbury United Banbury United
37 15 8 14 -1 53
13
Bury Town Bury Town
38 13 12 13 +4 51
14
Bishop's Stortford Bishop's Stortford
38 13 8 17 -8 47
15
Alvechurch Alvechurch
38 13 6 19 -6 45
16
Stourbridge Stourbridge
37 10 12 15 -14 42
17
Bromsgrove Sporting Bromsgrove Sporting
38 10 8 20 -20 38
18
St Ives Town St Ives Town
38 10 10 20 -23 37
19
Stamford Stamford
37 10 6 21 -31 36
20
Barwell Barwell A
38 8 8 22 -29 32
21
Royston Town Royston Town
38 5 10 23 -40 25
22
AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury
38 6 7 25 -55 25

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record