Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 March 28, 2026
Xerez Deportivo

Xerez Deportivo

02
FT
Estepona

Estepona

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Xerez Deportivo
Rank#13
Played28
Points34
PPG1.21
Goal Diff-2
W W L D L
Estepona
15#Rank
28Played
30Points
1.07PPG
-9Goal Diff
D W W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.2%
7.6
1-1
12.0%
8.35
2-0
10.4%
9.66
2-1
9.4%
10.63
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.11
NO 53% · 1.9
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Xerez Deportivo 46% · 2.19
Draw 29% · 3.42
Estepona 25% · 3.99
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.22 Under 55% · 1.82
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.43
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.21 Under 76% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Xerez Deportivo Xerez Deportivo
W W L D L
Estepona Estepona
D W W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Xerez Deportivo
Stat
Estepona
1.57
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.91
#13
League Pos.
#15
34 pts
Points
30 pts
1.21
Points / Game
1.07
-2
Goal Diff.
-9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Extremadura 1924 Extremadura 1924
30 14 11 5 +12 53
2
Ucam Murcia Ucam Murcia
29 15 7 7 +11 52
3
Xerez Xerez
29 15 6 8 +7 51
4
Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva
30 14 9 7 +17 51
5
Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera
29 15 5 9 +12 50
6
Águilas Águilas
29 14 7 8 +13 49
7
Real Jaén Real Jaén
30 13 9 8 +7 48
8
Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva
29 12 7 10 +0 43
9
Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo
30 10 13 7 -3 43
10
Yeclano Yeclano
30 12 4 14 +0 40
11
La Unión Atlético La Unión Atlético
30 11 6 13 +0 39
12
Antoniano Antoniano
30 11 6 13 -3 39
13
Xerez Deportivo Xerez Deportivo H
29 8 10 11 -4 34
14
Estepona Estepona A
29 9 6 14 -7 33
15
Puente Genil Puente Genil
29 8 9 12 -9 33
16
Melilla Melilla
29 7 11 11 +0 32
17
Almería II Almería II
29 4 7 18 -23 19
18
Málaga II Málaga II
30 4 5 21 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record