Challenge League
April 3, 2026
Yverdon Sport
5–2
FT
Bellinzona
We predicted
Yverdon Sport 4+
45% confidence
View full match details
Friday, April 3 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Yverdon Sport 4+
|
Actual
5–2
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Yverdon Sport 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
45%
Team Context
Yverdon Sport
Rank#3
Played27
Points47
PPG1.74
Goal Diff16
L
D
L
W
D
Bellinzona
10#Rank
27Played
18Points
0.67PPG
-27Goal Diff
W
L
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Yverdon Sport 4+
17.6%
2-1
9.9%
10.09
2-0
9.4%
10.64
1-1
8.9%
11.21
Both Teams To Score
YES
58% · 1.72
NO
42% · 2.38
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Yverdon Sport
56% · 1.78
Draw
30% · 3.36
Bellinzona
14% · 7.06
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.58
Under 37% · 2.72
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.19
Under 16% · 6.14
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.44
Under 59% · 1.69
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Yverdon Sport
L
D
L
W
D
Bellinzona
W
L
D
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Yverdon Sport
Stat
Bellinzona
2.22
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.05
#3
League Pos.
#10
47 pts
Points
18 pts
1.74
Points / Game
0.67
+16
Goal Diff.
-27
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Yverdon Sport
Draw
Bellinzona
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Vaduz
|
28 | 20 | 5 | 3 | +29 | 65 |
| 2 |
FC Aarau
|
28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | +22 | 65 |
| 3 |
Yverdon Sport
H
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +19 | 50 |
| 4 |
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | +7 | 39 |
| 5 |
Neuchatel Xamax FC
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -3 | 36 |
| 6 |
FC WIL 1900
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -15 | 30 |
| 7 |
Étoile Carouge
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 8 |
Rapperswil
|
28 | 9 | 2 | 17 | -13 | 29 |
| 9 |
Stade Nyonnais
|
28 | 5 | 13 | 10 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 |
Bellinzona
A
|
28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -30 | 18 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.