Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
April 2, 2026
Zarautz
0–0
FT
Real Sociedad III
We predicted
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, April 2 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
0–0
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Zarautz
Rank#17
Played28
Points25
PPG0.89
Goal Diff-26
W
L
L
D
L
Real Sociedad III
9#Rank
28Played
39Points
1.39PPG
-4Goal Diff
W
L
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
8.06
1-0
11.0%
9.1
2-1
9.0%
11.09
0-1
8.5%
11.71
Both Teams To Score
YES
52% · 1.93
NO
48% · 2.08
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Zarautz
31% · 3.26
Draw
34% · 2.97
Real Sociedad III
36% · 2.81
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.1
Under 52% · 1.91
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37
Under 27% · 3.69
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.85
Under 74% · 1.35
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Zarautz
W
L
L
D
L
Real Sociedad III
W
L
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Zarautz
Stat
Real Sociedad III
1.45
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.13
#17
League Pos.
#9
25 pts
Points
39 pts
0.89
Points / Game
1.39
-26
Goal Diff.
-4
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
1 W
Zarautz
Draw
Real Sociedad III
3
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Portugalete
|
29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | +42 | 71 |
| 2 |
Leioa
|
29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | +14 | 53 |
| 3 |
Touring
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 53 |
| 4 |
Lagun Onak
|
29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | +20 | 52 |
| 5 |
San Ignacio
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 48 |
| 6 |
Derio
|
29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +11 | 47 |
| 7 |
Aurrerá Vitoria
|
29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +3 | 47 |
| 8 |
Deportivo Alavés III
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +13 | 44 |
| 9 |
Real Sociedad III
A
|
29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 |
Aretxabaleta
|
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 |
Durango
|
29 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 |
Santurtzi
|
29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 |
Pasaia KE
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 |
Añorga
|
29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | -22 | 30 |
| 15 |
Zamudio
|
29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | -18 | 29 |
| 16 |
Eibar III
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 |
Zarautz
H
|
29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -26 | 26 |
| 18 |
Deusto
|
29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -18 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.