Eredivisie
21/02/2026 • 20:00
Finished
Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)
J. Manschot
Home scorers
- 39' M. Godts
Away scorers
- 57' D. Nejasmic
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
25%
Team Context
Ajax
Rank#4
Played23
Points42
PPG1.83
Goal Diff16
W
D
D
W
D
NEC Nijmegen
3#Rank
23Played
42Points
1.83PPG
19Goal Diff
D
L
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.6%
9.42
Ajax 4+
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
10.37
1-0
8.5%
11.74
Both Teams To Score
YES
60% · 1.68
NO
40% · 2.48
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Ajax
51% · 1.97
Draw
23% · 4.33
NEC Nijmegen
26% · 3.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.7
Under 41% · 2.43
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.24
Under 19% · 5.24
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.74
Under 64% · 1.57
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.