La Liga
21/02/2026 • 20:00
Finished
Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)
A. Ruiz
Home scorers
- 21' A. Sorloth (M. Llorente)
- 49' G. Simeone (A. Baena)
- 58' A. Lookman (M. Ruggeri)
- 72' A. Sorloth (M. Ruggeri)
Away scorers
- 6' Jofre
- 80' Exposito
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
27%
Team Context
Atletico Madrid
Rank#4
Played24
Points45
PPG1.88
Goal Diff17
L
L
D
W
W
Espanyol
6#Rank
24Played
35Points
1.46PPG
-4Goal Diff
D
L
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.6%
6.42
1-1
12.8%
7.81
0-0
12.0%
8.36
2-0
10.1%
9.86
Both Teams To Score
YES
41% · 2.45
NO
59% · 1.69
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atletico Madrid
48% · 2.09
Draw
29% · 3.49
Espanyol
24% · 4.24
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.8
Under 64% · 1.55
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.6
Under 37% · 2.68
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 6.04
Under 83% · 1.2
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.