Championship
21/03/2026 • 12:30
Finished
Pride Park (Derby)
Gavin Ward, England
Home scorers
- 43' R. Brewster (D. Murkin)
Away scorers
No goals yet.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Derby
Rank#7
Played36
Points54
PPG1.5
Goal Diff7
W
W
L
L
W
Birmingham
12#Rank
36Played
49Points
1.36PPG
-1Goal Diff
L
L
L
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.4%
6.93
1-1
12.5%
7.99
2-0
10.2%
9.78
0-0
10.2%
9.82
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.28
NO
56% · 1.78
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Derby
48% · 2.09
Draw
34% · 2.92
Birmingham
18% · 5.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.5
Under 60% · 1.67
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5
Under 33% · 2.99
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.07
Under 80% · 1.25
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.