Eredivisie
14/02/2026 • 17:45
Finished
Stadion Woudestein (Rotterdam)
Erwin Blank, Netherlands
Home scorers
- 45' I. Bronkhorst
Away scorers
- 90' T. Parrott (M. de Wit)
- 90' Penetra (K. Boogaard)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
25%
Team Context
Excelsior
Rank#12
Played22
Points26
PPG1.18
Goal Diff-13
W
D
D
D
D
AZ Alkmaar
7#Rank
22Played
33Points
1.5PPG
1Goal Diff
D
L
W
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.7%
9.31
1-2
8.8%
11.36
2-1
8.0%
12.56
AZ Alkmaar 4+
7.9%
Both Teams To Score
YES
62% · 1.61
NO
38% · 2.65
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Excelsior
35% · 2.88
Draw
24% · 4.21
AZ Alkmaar
42% · 2.41
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66
Under 40% · 2.52
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22
Under 18% · 5.49
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.64
Under 62% · 1.61
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.