Primeira Liga
28/02/2026 • 20:30
Finished
1 - 1
Elapsed · 90'
HT 0 – 0
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)
Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe, Portugal
Home scorers
  • 46' Samu (A. Ndoye)
Away scorers
  • 65' Figueiredo (Chiquinho)

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 24%
Team Context
Guimaraes
Rank#9
Played23
Points31
PPG1.35
Goal Diff-7
L W L W L
Alverca
10#Rank
23Played
26Points
1.13PPG
-15Goal Diff
D D L D L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.1%
8.24
1-0
11.3%
8.85
2-1
9.3%
10.71
2-0
8.7%
11.49
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.93
NO 48% · 2.07
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Guimaraes 48% · 2.08
Draw 26% · 3.92
Alverca 26% · 3.78
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.06 Under 52% · 1.94
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.36 Under 26% · 3.77
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.76 Under 73% · 1.36

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.