Primera División - Apertura
29/03/2026 • 22:30
Finished
Estadio Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)
Hernan Heras, Uruguay
Home scorers
- 90' M. Olivera
Away scorers
- 42' Y. Oyarzo
- 47' A. Vazquez
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Penarol
Rank#1
Played7
Points16
PPG2.29
Goal Diff10
W
W
W
L
W
Racing Montevideo
3#Rank
7Played
13Points
1.86PPG
5Goal Diff
D
W
W
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.9%
8.38
1-0
11.3%
8.87
2-1
9.5%
10.55
2-0
9.0%
11.17
Both Teams To Score
YES
52% · 1.93
NO
48% · 2.08
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Penarol
48% · 2.09
Draw
33% · 3.02
Racing Montevideo
19% · 5.21
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.03
Under 51% · 1.97
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35
Under 26% · 3.86
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.66
Under 73% · 1.38
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.