Primera División - Apertura
31/03/2026 • 14:00
Finished
Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo)
Leodan Frankin Gonzalez Cabrera, Uruguay
Home scorers
- 21' M. Copelotti
- 41' M. Copelotti
- 75' H. Carroso
Away scorers
- 6' R. Bentancourt
- 10' F. Martinez
- 68' F. Martinez
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Progreso
Rank#6
Played7
Points6
PPG0.86
Goal Diff-6
L
L
W
L
W
Liverpool Montevideo
5#Rank
7Played
8Points
1.14PPG
-2Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.5%
8.02
0-1
10.4%
9.66
1-0
8.9%
11.24
1-2
8.7%
11.44
Both Teams To Score
YES
53% · 1.9
NO
47% · 2.12
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Progreso
23% · 4.28
Draw
34% · 2.96
Liverpool Montevideo
43% · 2.33
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.07
Under 52% · 1.93
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.36
Under 27% · 3.75
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.78
Under 74% · 1.36
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.