UEFA Champions League
25/02/2026 • 17:45
Finished
New Balance Arena (Bergamo)
J. Sanchez
Home scorers
- 5' G. Scamacca
- 45' D. Zappacosta
- 57' M. Pasalic (M. De Roon)
- 90' L. Samardzic
Away scorers
- 75' K. Adeyemi (C. Chukwuemeka)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
30%
Team Context
Atalanta
Rank#15
Played8
Points13
PPG1.63
Goal Diff0
L
L
W
W
W
Borussia Dortmund
17#Rank
8Played
11Points
1.38PPG
2Goal Diff
L
L
D
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Atalanta 4+
17.2%
2-1
9.8%
10.19
1-1
8.9%
11.25
2-0
8.4%
11.89
Both Teams To Score
YES
61% · 1.63
NO
39% · 2.58
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Atalanta
61% · 1.65
Draw
20% · 5.0
Borussia Dortmund
19% · 5.18
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.53
Under 35% · 2.88
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
85%
Over 85% · 1.18
Under 15% · 6.63
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.32
Under 57% · 1.76
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.